Can we still limit the global warming to 1.5ºC?
Kasia Tokarska
School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria
Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Snacks/Discussion begin at 15:00, Talk at 15:30
Location: Grad House, David Clode Room
RSVP
The Paris Agreement commits its signatory countries to hold the global mean warming well below 2ºC, and pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5ºC above the pre-industrial level. Since 1870s, 565 PgC of carbon has already been emitted, as of 2016. The question arises then: how much more carbon can be emitted on a global scale, in order not to exceed those temperature levels, as specified by the Paris Agreement? What kind of emission pathways would lead to stabilization of global mean temperature at those low levels, and what is the role of artificial carbon dioxide removal (or negative emissions) in achieving those pathways? This talk will provide an overview of the most current research on emission pathways that reach those ambitious temperature targets, and will present observationally-constrained carbon budgets consistent with meeting the Paris Agreement goals.
This talk is sponsored by the School of Earth and Ocean Sciences and the Graduate Students’ Society.